DISTRIBUTION FUTURE ENERGY SCENARIOS
SP Distribution
The Distribution Future Energy Scenarios provide users with geographically granular forecasts out to 2050, covering changes to our distribution networks
out to 2050 as a result of GB’s transition to Net Zero. Forecasts cover the uptake of Low Carbon Technologies (LCTs), changes to peak demand, changes
to installed Distributed Generation (DG) and storage.
There are four credible future scenarios covering a range of uncertainties, including differing levels of consumer ambition, policy support, economic growth
and technology development. We have developed this feature page to allow our stakeholders to explore the DFES data through an intuitive dashboard – scroll down to explore.
Our DFES framework is aligned to the ESO's FES framework so we can all achieve Net Zero by 2050.
Click below for an overview of the scenarios
and details on each.
In the sections below you can visualise the data in more detail to further explore generation, peak demand and LCT data.
Please use the tabs below to explore our forecasts pertaining Installed Distributed Generation, Peak Demand levels and Low Carbon Technology uptake.
In this section you will be able to visualise the generation forecasts at primary substation level, view this data on a heatmap and compare each scenario directly.
We recommend you view explore the forecasts in the first chart before drilling down on a substation in the map view. You can then use this substation name to filter each chart to explore the data for your area(s) of interest.
Installed Distributed Generation capacity (by scenario) at Primary Substation level
In this chart you can visualise the generation capacity for a selected date range, showing the expect growth in capacity broken down by technology.
Filters can be applied for a chosen scenario and substation of interest.
Evolution of DFES Range (by Technology)
In this chart you can visualise the generation capacity for a selected date range, showing the expect growth in capacity. Each scenario is plotted
to allow you to compare scenarios directly.
Filters can be applied for a chosen technology and substation of interest.